Air Force

Mountain West
4-8
145.2
PASS YDS/G
261.8
RUSH YDS/G
29.8
PTS FOR/G
30.3
PTS AGAINST/G
SP+ Ratings
Bill Connelly's SP+ model · 2025
Overall
-3.2
#80 Nationally
Offense
28.3
#59 Nationally
Defense
31.7
#101 Nationally
Special Teams
0.2
SP+ Rating
SP+ Trend
5-Year Rating History
7.4
2021
#54
3.9
2022
#58
5.9
2023
#44
-11.7
2024
#111
-3.2
2025
#80
Recruiting Rankings
2025 Class
#129
80.1 pts
2024 Class
#172
23.2 pts
2023 Class
#104
130.6 pts
2022 Class
#114
110.1 pts
Havoc & Field Position
2025 FBS
Def Havoc Rate
10.7%
Front 7 Havoc
6.3%
DB Havoc
4.4%
Off Field Pos
71.8 yd line
Advanced Stats — Percentile Rankings
vs all 136 FBS teams · Garbage time excluded
PERCENTILE:
80–99
60–79
45–59
25–44
1–24
OFFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play
86
0.286
Success Rate
87
47.3%
Explosiveness
35
1.218
Power Success
85
79.0%
Stuff Rate
99
11.9%
Line Yards / Carry
88
3.27
2nd Level Yards
38
1.05
Open Field Yards
24
0.97
Rush EPA / Play
87
0.225
Pass EPA / Play
99
0.545
Rush Success Rate
83
47.7%
Pass Success Rate
86
47.1%
Rush Explosiveness
49
0.96
Pass Explosiveness
99
2.134
DEFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play Allowed
1
0.409
Success Rate Allowed
1
49.8%
Explosiveness Allowed
10
1.368
Power Success Allowed
25
75.5%
Stuff Rate
2
13.2%
Line Yards Allowed
7
3.3
2nd Level Yds Allowed
11
1.2
Open Field Yds Allowed
12
1.6
Rush EPA Allowed
1
0.308
Pass EPA Allowed
1
0.509
Rush Success Allowed
19
45.9%
Pass Success Allowed
1
53.7%
Rush Explosiveness Allowed
2
1.206
Pass Explosiveness Allowed
77
1.463
Stats Glossary
SP+
Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency metric. Combines offense, defense, and special teams into a single predictive rating. Higher is better.
EPA / Play
Expected Points Added per play. Measures how much a team moves the needle toward scoring relative to what's expected given down, distance, and field position. The single best measure of efficiency.
Success Rate
The percentage of plays deemed "successful" — gaining 50% of yards needed on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, or 100% on 3rd/4th. Measures consistency.
Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful plays only. Measures the ability to create big gains when things go right. High explosiveness with high success rate = elite offense.
Power Success
Percentage of short-yardage situations (2nd/3rd/4th and ≤2 yards) converted. Measures ability to win in the trenches.
Stuff Rate
Percentage of rush attempts stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage. High offensive stuff rate = bad O-line. High defensive stuff rate = dominant D-line.
Line Yards / Carry
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line (first 5 yards). Isolates O-line performance from the running back's contribution.
2nd Level Yards
Rushing yards gained 5–10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yards where linebackers have primary responsibility.
Open Field Yards
Rushing yards gained beyond 10 yards. Largely a function of the running back's speed and elusiveness in space.
Rush / Pass EPA
EPA per play broken down by run vs pass. Helps identify whether a team's success comes from the ground or through the air.
Rush / Pass Success Rate
Success rate broken down by run vs pass. Shows whether a team is consistently effective in each phase.
Rush / Pass Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful rush or pass plays only. Identifies big-play threats in each phase of the offense.
#65
Floysand
LT
JA
#72
Ashford
LG
#62
Burnett
C
#57
Averitt
RG
#78
Tate
RT
#21
Harris
WR1
#88
Fleischmann
TE
#18
Smith
WR2
LS
#9
Szarka
QB
#2
Allen
RB
Passing Leaders
Rk Player Cmp Att Yds ↓ TD INT Pct Y/A
01 75 120 1294 9 5 62.5% 10.8
02
J
Josh Johnson
16 28 374 4 2 57.1% 13.4
03 6 14 74 0 0 42.9% 5.3
Rushing Leaders
Rk Player Att Yds ↓ Avg TD Long
01 922 4.9 13 64
02 749 5.7 5 43
03 419 4.6 4 64
04 321 5.3 4 49
05
C
Christopher Frew
285 5.0 2 17
06 207 4.2 3 27
07 71 5.1 0 10
08
J
Josh Johnson
71 2.1 1 13
09 24 6.0 0 13
10 23 4.6 0 7
11 22 7.3 0 11
12 19 3.8 0 6
13 11 2.8 1 4
14 7 7.0 0 7
Receiving Leaders
Rk Player Rec Yds ↓ Avg TD Long
01 35 584 16.7 2 74
02 21 370 17.6 6 68
03 15 358 23.9 4 52
04 12 260 21.7 1 53
05
J
James Roberson
5 109 21.8 0 29
06
C
Christopher Frew
7 52 7.4 0 15
07 1 5 5.0 0 5
08 1 4 4.0 0 4
Defensive Leaders
Rk Player Solo Ast Tot ↓ TFL Sacks Int PD
01 39 108 1 0 2
02 39 76 0 0
03 21 45 1 0 3
04
P
Peyton Zdroik
16 36 6 1 1
05 17 34 0 0 4
06 27 33 1 0
07 8 31 3 1
08 22 30 11 5 1
09 17 29 0 0 1
10 11 23 0 0 1
11 4 21 3 0
12 7 20 0 0 1
13 5 18 0 0
14 7 17 4 3 2
15 7 11 0 0 1
16 3 11 1 0
17 6 10 1 1 1
18 8 10 0 0 1
19 5 9 2 1
20 3 5 0 0
21 1 5 0 0
22 3 5 0 0
23 2 4 0 0
24 3 4 0 0 1
25 1 3 0 0
26 2 3 0 0
27 2 3 0 0
28 2 2 1 0
29 2 2 0 0
30 1 2 1 1
31 1 1 0 0
32 1 0 0
33 1 1 0 0
34 1 0 0
35 1 1 0 0
36 1 1 0 0
37 1 1 0 0
38 1 1 0 0
39 1 0 0
40 1 1 0 0
41 1 1 0 0
42 1 1 0 0
43 1 1 0 0
44 1 0 0
45 1 0 0
Kicking
Player FGM FGA Pct Long
7 9 77.8% 52
3 6 50.0% 31
Punting
Player No Yds Avg Long
23 1024 44.5 60
Offense
68 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
QB 6'3" 190 lbs So
JK
QB 6'3" 195 lbs So
QB 6'1" 190 lbs Jr
EM
QB 6'0" 200 lbs Fr
LS
QB 6'0" 195 lbs So
RB 5'11" 215 lbs Jr
RB 6'0" 215 lbs Sr
RB 5'9" 185 lbs Sr
RB 5'8" 190 lbs Jr
OE
FB 5'9" 205 lbs So
RB 5'9" 190 lbs Sr
FB 6'0" 225 lbs Sr
FB 6'0" 245 lbs Jr
RB 5'10" 195 lbs Sr
GL
FB 5'10" 215 lbs So
FB 6'1" 220 lbs Jr
LR
Luke Rauh #37
FB 6'0" 210 lbs So
RB 5'7" 170 lbs Jr
RB 5'10" 185 lbs Jr
TW
FB 5'10" 225 lbs So
KB
WR 5'9" 180 lbs So
WR 6'0" 180 lbs So
WR 5'10" 195 lbs Jr
JD
WR 5'9" 170 lbs So
BG
WR 6'2" 195 lbs So
AH
WR 5'10" 175 lbs So
WR 5'8" 185 lbs Sr
MH
WR 5'11" 210 lbs So
WR 6'3" 180 lbs Jr
WR 5'8" 180 lbs Sr
ML
WR 5'10" 205 lbs So
ML
WR 5'10" 185 lbs So
WR 6'2" 205 lbs Sr
WR 5'10" 180 lbs Jr
WR 6'1" 200 lbs Sr
WR 6'1" 185 lbs Jr
TE 6'4" 260 lbs Jr
TE 6'5" 235 lbs Sr
TE 6'6" 250 lbs Jr
TE 6'6" 245 lbs Sr
TE 6'6" 225 lbs Jr
JA
OL 6'3" 350 lbs So
OL 6'3" 275 lbs Sr
OL 6'3" 300 lbs So
C 6'3" 310 lbs Sr
NB
OL 6'1" 320 lbs So
EC
OL 6'2" 310 lbs So
OL 6'3" 290 lbs Jr
Alec Falk #75
OL 6'5" 295 lbs Jr
OL 6'3" 285 lbs Jr
OT 6'3" 275 lbs Sr
OL 6'4" 300 lbs So
OL 6'4" 280 lbs Jr
OL 6'4" 305 lbs So
OL 6'3" 290 lbs So
OL 6'2" 280 lbs So
OL 6'3" 300 lbs Jr
CR
OL 6'3" 245 lbs So
BR
Ben Rosa #68
OL 6'3" 270 lbs So
MR
OL 6'2" 280 lbs So
BS
OL 6'3" 290 lbs So
OL 6'4" 275 lbs Jr
OL 6'2" 290 lbs Jr
OL 6'3" 310 lbs Jr
OT 6'2" 265 lbs Sr
OL 6'0" 295 lbs So
OL 6'3" 295 lbs Jr
OT 6'4" 285 lbs Jr
Defense
56 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
DE 6'2" 250 lbs Sr
DE 6'5" 255 lbs Sr
DD
DE 6'3" 225 lbs So
JD
DE 6'3" 220 lbs So
DE 6'4" 235 lbs So
JF
DE 6'4" 240 lbs So
KF
DE 6'4" 240 lbs So
DE 6'7" 270 lbs Sr
DE 6'3" 260 lbs So
DE 6'1" 230 lbs So
DE 6'3" 240 lbs So
CB
DL 6'3" 260 lbs So
DL 6'4" 235 lbs Jr
DL 6'2" 285 lbs Jr
DL 5'11" 280 lbs Jr
KS
DL 6'2" 265 lbs So
DT 6'4" 275 lbs Sr
DL 6'3" 290 lbs Jr
DL 6'2" 285 lbs So
DL 6'3" 285 lbs So
DL 6'0" 275 lbs Sr
LB 6'4" 240 lbs Sr
JB
LB 6'0" 235 lbs So
LB 6'1" 235 lbs Jr
LB 6'3" 235 lbs Jr
VC
LB 6'1" 230 lbs So
LB 6'2" 235 lbs Sr
HC
LB 6'2" 240 lbs So
LB 6'1" 215 lbs Jr
LB 6'0" 210 lbs Sr
LB 6'0" 225 lbs Jr
LB 6'1" 215 lbs Jr
LB 6'1" 225 lbs Jr
Ty Hubert #38
LB 5'11" 205 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 225 lbs Sr
JK
LB 6'2" 230 lbs So
LB 6'3" 240 lbs Jr
LB 6'1" 205 lbs So
JR
LB 6'0" 245 lbs So
BW
LB 6'2" 245 lbs Jr
CB 6'1" 185 lbs Sr
Evan Rau #13
CB 5'9" 180 lbs Sr
TB
TJ Barker #11
DB 6'0" 175 lbs So
NB
DB 6'0" 215 lbs So
DB 5'11" 200 lbs Jr
DB 6'0" 200 lbs Jr
DB 6'1" 185 lbs Fr
DB 6'1" 205 lbs Jr
DB 5'11" 190 lbs So
DB 5'11" 184 lbs So
DB 5'10" 195 lbs So
DB 6'1" 190 lbs Jr
RR
RJ Reedus #23
DB 6'1" 175 lbs Fr
DB 5'10" 180 lbs So
JT
DB 6'1" 190 lbs So
Jet Wiley #27
DB 6'2" 185 lbs Jr
Special Teams
6 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
P 5'11" 180 lbs So
WD
P 6'0" 220 lbs So
P 6'4" 225 lbs Sr
Rip Perez #91
P 6'2" 200 lbs Jr
LS 6'0" 205 lbs Sr
JH
LS 6'0" 210 lbs So